Workshop: Observational campaigns for better weather forecasts

Although the most popular application of ensemble forecasts is the mean and forecast standard deviation, there is substantial information within the higher moment statistics of these datasets that can be used to evaluate the dynamics and predictability of dynamical systems. In addition, these ensemble-based sensitivity methods can be used to identify locations where additional observations...

Observation-model difference drive the development of parametrizations. Here we will show how the combination of aircraft, satellite and ground based observations as well as theoretical and seamless modelling has led to model improvements in the Met Office Unified Model. Examples to be discussed will include i) the Southern Ocean sea surface temperature bias that draws on a rich combination of...