BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//CERN//INDICO//EN
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Virtual training course: Predictability and ensemble forecast syst
 ems
DTSTART:20200323T090000Z
DTEND:20200327T170000Z
DTSTAMP:20260714T122800Z
UID:indico-event-155@events.ecmwf.int
CONTACT:events@ecmwf.int
DESCRIPTION:\nDue to the COVID-19 (coronavirus) crisis this training cours
 e was held virtually.\n\nThis five-day module will consider the challenge 
 of making predictions from days to seasons ahead. \n\nThe predictability 
 of the atmosphere in the medium and extended range will be considered\, in
 cluding different aspects of the Earth system which give rise to predictab
 ility on longer time scales. Elements of a probabilistic forecast system a
 s well as its calibration and verification will be presented.\n\nThe cours
 e is a combination of lectures\, hands-on practicals and group discussion 
 sessions and will include some elements of pre-course study.\n\nPlease not
 e that this course does not cover methodologies for downscaling/post-proce
 ssing\, probabilistic products or discuss decadal prediction.\n\nMain topi
 cs:\n\n\n	Theoretical ideas - chaos\, predictability limits\n	Ensemble met
 hods - taking account of uncertainty in initial conditions and in the mode
 l\n	Predictability in the extended range - ocean\, sea-ice\, stratosphere\
 , land\n	Probabilistic forecast initialisation\, modelling\, evaluation an
 d verification\n	ECMWF medium-range\, monthly and seasonal systems.\n\n\nR
 equirements\n\nParticipants should have a good meteorological and mathemat
 ical background\, and are expected to be familiar with the contents of sta
 ndard meteorological and mathematical textbooks.\n\nIntroductory material 
 not covered by the course can be found in our lecture note series.\n\nSome
  practical experience in numerical weather prediction is an advantage.\n\n
 All lectures will be given in English.\n\n\nhttps://events.ecmwf.int/event
 /155/
IMAGE;VALUE=URI:https://events.ecmwf.int/event/155/logo-3547453490.png
LOCATION:ECMWF
URL:https://events.ecmwf.int/event/155/
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR