Virtual Event: Using ECMWF's Forecasts (UEF2020)
from Monday, 1 June 2020 (07:30) to Thursday, 4 June 2020 (15:30)
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Monday, 1 June 202013:30 Virtual arrivalVirtual arrival13:30 - 14:0014:00 Welcome from ECMWF Director General - Florence Rabier (ECMWF)Welcome from ECMWF Director General
- Florence Rabier (ECMWF)
14:00 - 14:1014:10 Virtual Housekeeping - Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)Virtual Housekeeping- Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
14:10 - 14:1514:1514:15 - 17:00Contributions-
14:15 ECMWF Product Development - David Richardson (ECMWF)
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14:35 ECMWF Future Plans: Reading, Bologna and Global Forecasting - Florian Pappenberger (ECMWF)
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14:55 Causes of systematic errors in forecasts of near-surface weather parameters and prospects for reducing them - Irina Sandu (ECMWF)
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15:45 Virtual icebreaker - Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
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16:00 ECMWF Forecast Performance - Thomas Haiden (ECMWF)
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16:20 Virtual Poster Session A - hosted by Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
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Tuesday, 2 June 202008:45 Virtual arrivalVirtual arrival08:45 - 09:0009:00 Day 2 Welcome and Housekeeping - Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)Day 2 Welcome and Housekeeping
- Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
09:00 - 09:0509:05 "Keeping users at the heart of operations": Introducing the theme - Anna Ghelli (ECMWF)"Keeping users at the heart of operations": Introducing the theme (UEF2020)- Anna Ghelli (ECMWF)
09:05 - 09:15Users are key to everything that is done at ECWMF. Our goal for over 40 years has been to improve global numerical weather predictions to support our Member and Co-operating States, as well as the broader meteorological communities. “Keeping users at the heart of operations” (this year UEF theme) is one key element to providing successfully products and services to users. The talk will introduce the theme and the focus of this year UEF.09:1509:15 - 10:20Contributions-
09:15 Improving the Research to Operations process at ECMWF - Jenny Rourke (ECMWF) Michael Sleigh (ECMWF)
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10:00 Linkage from Research to Operational activity - Jens Bonewitz (DWD)
10:20 Virtual Poster Session B - hosted by Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)Virtual Poster Session B- hosted by Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
10:20 - 11:0011:00 Lunch breakLunch break11:00 - 12:0012:00 Real-time refinement of ECMWF subseasonal forecast confidence - Jan Dutton (Prescient Weather Ltd)Real-time refinement of ECMWF subseasonal forecast confidence (UEF2020)- Jan Dutton (Prescient Weather Ltd)
12:00 - 12:40The World Climate Service (please see link at bottom of this page) is a commercial web-based portal designed to enable meteorologists and weather-sensitive enterprises to improve their long-range forecasting process. It provides independent sources of long-range forecast information, including statistical and analog forecast tools, to improve scenario analysis and the communication of future weather risk. In summer 2019, the World Climate Service released a new statistical temperature forecast product based on success in a subseasonal forecast contest. The statistical scheme, called Sub-R, performed well in winter 2019-2020, and here we present a verification comparison between Sub-R and the ECMWF subseasonal forecasts for specific geographies. While the ECMWF was superior in Europe and Asia, Sub-R outperformed ECMWF over the USA domain. Moreover, in all three domains, the ECMWF performance was substantially better when the Sub-R forecasts agreed than when Sub-R predicted a different outcome. We conclude that statistical forecast guidance such as Sub-R provides a valuable complement to dynamical model forecasts at subseasonal lead times. The results also suggest that statistical schemes have the potential to identify windows of enhanced predictability when the dynamical models will achieve higher skill than normal. Independent statistical guidance therefore permits real-time refinement of forecast confidence, whether in terms of subjective interpretation by a forecaster, or in terms of new quantitative multi-predictor forecasts. An obvious next step is to perform conditional calibration of the dynamical model forecasts to create probability information that reflects variations in skill and confidence based on statistical inputs.12:4012:40 - 13:20Contributions-
12:40 Future French severe weather warnings system - Alexandre Trajan (Météo-France)
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13:00 Using ECMWF Ensemble Products in Tropical Cyclone Field Program Planning - Sharanya Majumdar (University of Miami)
13:20 Conversations over coffee: Meet your fellow researchers and forecastersConversations over coffee: Meet your fellow researchers and forecasters13:20 - 13:5013:5013:50 - 15:00Contributions-
13:50 User Voice Corner - Tim Hewson (ECMWF)
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14:10 User Voice Corner - Breakout Group 1
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14:20 User Voice Corner - Breakout Group 2
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14:30 User Voice Corner - Breakout Group 4
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14:40 User Voice Corner - Breakout Group 5
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14:50 User Voice Corner - Breakout Group 6
15:00 Virtual Soirée - How well do you know ECMWF? Quiz - Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)Virtual Soirée - How well do you know ECMWF? Quiz- Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
15:00 - 16:00In previous years the UEF dinner has been an opportunity to have fun and network with colleagues in an informal environment. Unfortunately this year we are unable to do the dinner however we'd like to bring a bit more fun to UEF2020 so during this year we will be holding a Virtual Soiree where we will be hosting a 'How well do you know ECMWF?' quiz. Details on joining the quiz will be available shortly, we look forward to seeing you there! -
Wednesday, 3 June 202007:15 Virtual arrivalVirtual arrival07:15 - 07:3007:30 Day 3 Welcome and Housekeeping - Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)Day 3 Welcome and Housekeeping
- Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
07:30 - 07:3507:35 Welcome from ECMWF Director General (repeat) - Florence Rabier (ECMWF)Welcome from ECMWF Director General (repeat)- Florence Rabier (ECMWF)
07:35 - 07:4507:4507:45 - 09:45Contributions-
07:45 ECMWF Product Development (repeat) - David Richardson (ECMWF)
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08:05 ECMWF Future Plans: Reading, Bologna and Global Forecasting (repeat) - Florian Pappenberger (ECMWF)
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08:25 Causes of systematic errors forecasts of near-surface weather parameters and prospects for reducing them (repeat) - Irina Sandu (ECMWF)
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09:25 ECMWF Forecast Performance (repeat) - Thomas Haiden (ECMWF)
09:4509:45 - 11:00Contributions-
09:45 Utilising ECMWF seasonal hindcast data from a European windstorm insurance loss perspective - Richard Dixon (CatInsight, Dept. of Meteorology, University of Reading)
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10:05 Smart Climate Hydropower Tool: An artificial intelligence based service for hydropower production seasonal forecast - Paolo Mazzoli (GECOsistema srl)
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10:25 Towards a sub-seasonal agricultural drought forecast - Thomas Leppelt (Deutscher Wetterdienst)
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10:45 Interactivity with a chance of clouds - Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
11:00 Lunch breakLunch break11:00 - 12:0012:0012:00 - 15:00Contributions-
12:00 Market is king: climate services for whom? - Francesca Larosa (Ca' Foscari University of Venice; Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC))
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12:20 Radiosonde descent data: quality and next steps - Matti Lehmuskero (Vaisala Oyj)
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12:40 Speakers' Corner - Ivan Tsonevsky: Revision of CAPE and CIN parameters provide as a model output from the IFS, Cihan Sahin: Updates to Meteograms, Fernando Prates: Tropical Cyclone Radius, Ivan Tsonevsky: Extended-range products - Ivan Tsonevsky (ECMWF) Cihan Sahin (ECMWF) Fernando Prates (ECMWF)
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13:45 Introduction to reforecasting and extended range forecasts - Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)
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14:20 Machine Learning for Weather - David Hall (Nvidia)
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Thursday, 4 June 202007:15 Virtual arrivalVirtual arrival07:15 - 07:3007:30 Day 4 Welcome and Housekeeping - Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)Day 4 Welcome and Housekeeping
- Becky Hemingway (ECMWF)
07:30 - 07:3507:3507:35 - 11:00Contributions-
07:35 Copernicus Services at ECMWF: An Overview - Jean-Noel Thepaut (ECMWF)
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07:40 Recent activities of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) and plans for the next phase - Carlo Buontempo (ECMWF)
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08:00 CAMS, high-quality information about air composition in support of COVID-19 R&D - Vincent-Henri Peuch (ECMWF)
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08:20 Forecasting floods and wildfires - overview of Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) activities at ECMWF - Fredrik Wetterhall (ECMWF)
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08:40 Data-driven climate communication - the example of the European State of the Climate 2019 - Freja Vamborg (ECMWF)
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09:30 Developing applications for climate and meteorology in the CDS Toolbox - interactive session - Edward Comyn-Platt (ECMWF)
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10:00 Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Sectoral Information System (SIS) - Chiara Cagnazzo (ECMWF)
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10:20 Capgemini’s AsSISt airline maintenance service, powered by CAMS - Carine Saüt (Capgemini) Nicolas Estival (Capgemini)
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10:40 ERA5-Land, dedicated land surface reanalysis - Joaquin Munoz-Sabater (ECMWF)
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10:50 Concluding remarks and feedback poll - ECMWF