Training course: Predictability and ensemble forecast systems

Monday, 22 March
08:45 → 09:10
Online course opens
25m
09:10 → 10:10
Introduction
Speakers: Andy Brown (ECMWF), Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)
1h
10:10 → 10:45
Break
35m
10:45 → 11:45
Introduction to probabilistic seamless forecasting
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
1h
11:45 → 13:00
Lunch break
1h 15m
13:00 → 14:00
Chaos and predictability limits
Speaker: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)
1h
14:00 → 14:30
Break
30m
14:30 → 15:30
Weather regimes
Speaker: Franco Molteni (ECMWF)
1h
15:30 → 15:45
Comfort break
15m
15:45 → 16:45
Introduction to practial sessions - Making sure your computer works!
Speaker: Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)
1h
Tuesday, 23 March
08:45 → 09:10
Online course opens
25m
09:10 → 10:10
Coupled land-atmosphere variability
Speaker: Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
1h
10:10 → 10:45
Break
35m
10:45 → 11:45
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability
Speaker: Chris Roberts (ECMWF)
1h
11:45 → 13:00
Lunch break
1h 15m
13:00 → 14:00
Coupled sea ice-atmosphere variability
Speaker: Steffen Tietsche (ECMWF)
1h
14:00 → 14:30
Break
30m
14:30 → 15:30
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - MJO
Speaker: Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)
1h
15:30 → 15:45
Comfort break
15m
15:45 → 16:45
Overview of forecast systems in extended and long range
Speakers: Frederic Vitart (ECMWF), Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
1h
Wednesday, 24 March
08:45 → 09:10
Online course opens
25m
09:10 → 10:10
Coupled stratosphere-troposphere variability
Speaker: Andrew Charlton-Perez (University of Reading)
1h
10:10 → 10:45
Break
35m
10:45 → 11:45
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - ENSO
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
1h
11:45 → 13:00
Lunch break
1h 15m
13:00 → 14:00
Intial condition uncertainty
Speaker: Simon Lang (ECMWF)
1h
14:00 → 14:30
Break
30m
14:30 → 15:30
Ensemble verification (1)
Speaker: Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
1h
15:30 → 15:45
Comfort break
15m
15:45 → 16:45
Diagnostics (1)
Speaker: Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)
1h
Thursday, 25 March
08:45 → 09:10
Online course opens
25m
09:10 → 10:10
Ensemble verification (2)
Speaker: Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
1h
10:10 → 10:45
Coffee break
35m
10:45 → 11:45
Model uncertainty
Speaker: Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF)
1h
11:45 → 13:00
Lunch break
1h 15m
13:00 → 14:00
Initialization techniques in coupled forecasting
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
1h
14:00 → 14:30
Break
30m
14:30 → 15:30
Practical session using SciLab (TBC)
Speakers: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF), Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF), Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF), Zied Ben Bouallegue (ECMWF)
1h
15:30 → 15:45
Comfort break
15m
15:45 → 16:45
Practical session continued
Speakers: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF), Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF), Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF), Zied Ben Bouallegue (ECMWF)
1h
Friday, 26 March
08:45 → 09:10
Online course opens
25m
09:10 → 10:10
Diagnostics (2)
Speaker: Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)
1h
10:10 → 10:45
Coffee break
35m
10:45 → 11:45
Assessing the skill of long range forecast & the predictability paradox
Speaker: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)
1h
11:45 → 13:00
Lunch Break
1h 15m
13:00 → 14:00
Post-processing of EPSs reforecasts - reliability diagrams
Speaker: Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
1h
14:00 → 14:30
Break
30m
14:30 → 15:30
Question and Answer Session
 1h

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