Training course: Predictability and ensemble forecast systems
from Monday, 22 March 2021 (08:45) to Friday, 26 March 2021 (17:00)
-
Monday, 22 March 202108:45 Online course opensOnline course opens08:45 - 09:1009:10 Introduction - Sarah Keeley (ECMWF) Andy Brown (ECMWF)Introduction
- Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)
- Andy Brown (ECMWF)
09:10 - 10:1010:10 BreakBreak10:10 - 10:4510:45 Introduction to probabilistic seamless forecasting - Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)Introduction to probabilistic seamless forecasting- Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
10:45 - 11:4511:45 Lunch breakLunch break11:45 - 13:0013:00 Chaos and predictability limits - Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)Chaos and predictability limits- Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)
13:00 - 14:0014:00 BreakBreak14:00 - 14:3014:30 Weather regimes - Franco Molteni (ECMWF)Weather regimes- Franco Molteni (ECMWF)
14:30 - 15:3015:30 Comfort breakComfort break15:30 - 15:4515:45 Introduction to practial sessions - Making sure your computer works! - Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)Introduction to practial sessions - Making sure your computer works!- Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)
15:45 - 16:45 -
Tuesday, 23 March 202108:45 Online course opensOnline course opens08:45 - 09:1009:10 Coupled land-atmosphere variability - Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)Coupled land-atmosphere variability
- Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
09:10 - 10:1010:10 BreakBreak10:10 - 10:4510:45 Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - Chris Roberts (ECMWF)Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability- Chris Roberts (ECMWF)
10:45 - 11:4511:45 Lunch breakLunch break11:45 - 13:0013:00 Coupled sea ice-atmosphere variability - Steffen Tietsche (ECMWF)Coupled sea ice-atmosphere variability- Steffen Tietsche (ECMWF)
13:00 - 14:0014:00 BreakBreak14:00 - 14:3014:30 Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - MJO - Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - MJO- Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)
14:30 - 15:3015:30 Comfort breakComfort break15:30 - 15:4515:45 Overview of forecast systems in extended and long range - Frederic Vitart (ECMWF) Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)Overview of forecast systems in extended and long range- Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)
- Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
15:45 - 16:45 -
Wednesday, 24 March 202108:45 Online course opensOnline course opens08:45 - 09:1009:10 Coupled stratosphere-troposphere variability - Andrew Charlton-Perez (University of Reading)Coupled stratosphere-troposphere variability
- Andrew Charlton-Perez (University of Reading)
09:10 - 10:1010:10 BreakBreak10:10 - 10:4510:45 Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - ENSO - Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - ENSO- Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
10:45 - 11:4511:45 Lunch breakLunch break11:45 - 13:0013:00 Intial condition uncertainty - Simon Lang (ECMWF)Intial condition uncertainty- Simon Lang (ECMWF)
13:00 - 14:0014:00 BreakBreak14:00 - 14:3014:30 Ensemble verification (1) - Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)Ensemble verification (1)- Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
14:30 - 15:3015:30 Comfort breakComfort break15:30 - 15:4515:45 Diagnostics (1) - Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)Diagnostics (1)- Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)
15:45 - 16:45 -
Thursday, 25 March 202108:45 Online course opensOnline course opens08:45 - 09:1009:10 Ensemble verification (2) - Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)Ensemble verification (2)
- Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
09:10 - 10:1010:10 Coffee breakCoffee break10:10 - 10:4510:45 Model uncertainty - Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF)Model uncertainty- Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF)
10:45 - 11:4511:45 Lunch breakLunch break11:45 - 13:0013:00 Initialization techniques in coupled forecasting - Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)Initialization techniques in coupled forecasting- Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
13:00 - 14:0014:00 BreakBreak14:00 - 14:3014:30 Practical session using SciLab (TBC) - Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF) Zied Ben Bouallegue (ECMWF) Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF) Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)Practical session using SciLab (TBC)- Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)
- Zied Ben Bouallegue (ECMWF)
- Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF)
- Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
14:30 - 15:3015:30 Comfort breakComfort break15:30 - 15:4515:45 Practical session continued - Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF) Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF) Zied Ben Bouallegue (ECMWF) Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)Practical session continued- Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
- Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF)
- Zied Ben Bouallegue (ECMWF)
- Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)
15:45 - 16:45 -
Friday, 26 March 202108:45 Online course opensOnline course opens08:45 - 09:1009:10 Diagnostics (2) - Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)Diagnostics (2)
- Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)
09:10 - 10:1010:10 Coffee breakCoffee break10:10 - 10:4510:45 Assessing the skill of long range forecast & the predictability paradox - Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)Assessing the skill of long range forecast & the predictability paradox- Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)
10:45 - 11:4511:45 Lunch BreakLunch Break11:45 - 13:0013:00 Post-processing of EPSs reforecasts - reliability diagrams - Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)Post-processing of EPSs reforecasts - reliability diagrams- Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
13:00 - 14:0014:00 BreakBreak14:00 - 14:3014:3014:30 - 15:30