BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//CERN//INDICO//EN
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Training course: Predictability and ensemble forecast systems
DTSTART:20220321T083000Z
DTEND:20220325T171500Z
DTSTAMP:20260715T223500Z
UID:indico-event-274@events.ecmwf.int
CONTACT:events@ecmwf.int
DESCRIPTION:\n\n\nThis training course was held virtually.\n\nThis five-da
 y course will consider the challenge of making predictions from days to se
 asons ahead. \n\nThe predictability of the atmosphere in the medium and e
 xtended range will be considered\, including different aspects of the Eart
 h system which give rise to predictability on longer time scales. Elements
  of a probabilistic forecast system as well as its calibration and verific
 ation will be presented.\n\nThe course is a combination of lectures\, hand
 s-on practicals and group discussion sessions and will include some elemen
 ts of pre-course study. An example timetable is shown for the online cours
 e in 2021 to give you some idea of what is covered.\n\nPlease note that th
 is course does not cover methodologies for downscaling/post-processing\, p
 robabilistic products or discuss decadal prediction.\n\nMain topics:\n\n\n
 	Theoretical ideas - chaos\, predictability limits\n	Ensemble methods - ta
 king account of uncertainty in initial conditions and in the model\n	Predi
 ctability in the extended range - ocean\, sea-ice\, stratosphere\, land\n	
 Probabilistic forecast initialisation\, modelling\, evaluation and verific
 ation\n	ECMWF medium-range\, monthly and seasonal systems\n\n\nCourse form
 at\n\nThis course will offer two levels of participation:\n\nLevel 1: Atte
 nd in person at ECMWF's headquarters to attend lessons & practical session
 s. A course certificate will be issued.\n\nLevel 2: Remote access to lesso
 ns and opportunity to ask questions in a forum\; no access to practical se
 ssions. A course certificate will not be issued.\n\nPlease indicate on the
  registration form which level you are applying for.\n\nRequirements\n\nPa
 rticipants should have a good meteorological and mathematical background\,
  and are expected to be familiar with the contents of standard meteorologi
 cal and mathematical textbooks.\n\nIntroductory material not covered by th
 e course can be found in our lecture note series.\n\nSome practical experi
 ence in numerical weather prediction is an advantage.\n\nAll lectures will
  be given in English.\n\n\nhttps://events.ecmwf.int/event/274/
IMAGE;VALUE=URI:https://events.ecmwf.int/event/274/logo-3547453490.png
LOCATION:Virtual
URL:https://events.ecmwf.int/event/274/
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR