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VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//CERN//INDICO//EN
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Workshop on model uncertainty
DTSTART:20220509T080000Z
DTEND:20220512T160000Z
DTSTAMP:20260722T225900Z
UID:indico-event-290@events.ecmwf.int
DESCRIPTION:\n\n\n\nDescription\n\nIn order to correctly describe the grow
 th of forecast uncertainties\, ensembles require representations of model 
 uncertainties. These matter on all time scales from hours in data assimila
 tion to months in seasonal forecasts. Developing these representations of 
 model uncertainties is a major scientific challenge as random model errors
  are generally not directly observable and there are sources of model erro
 rs in all Earth system components. This workshop was an opportunity to sha
 re recent advances in the field\, to identify common interests and open re
 search questions. While acknowledging the diversity of approaches that has
  emerged over the past two decades\, the workshop primarily focussed on st
 ochastic representations of model uncertainties and the following five mai
 n themes:\n\n\n	Uncertainty representations in convection-permitting ensem
 bles\n	Physical consistency of perturbations\n	Stochastic parametrisation 
 closures\n	Surface interface uncertainties (atmosphere-land/ocean/wave/sea
 -ice)\n	Evaluation of model uncertainty representations\n\n\nECMWF sought 
 input and recommendations from the workshop participants regarding future 
 work on these topics and especially encouraged contributions describing re
 search and development for improving model uncertainty representations in 
 operational convection permitting ensembles.\n\nFormat\n\nThe workshop too
 k place at the ECMWF Headquarters in Reading\, 9-12 May 2022\, and adopted
  a hybrid format with online and physical participation.\n\n \n\nhttps://
 events.ecmwf.int/event/290/
IMAGE;VALUE=URI:https://events.ecmwf.int/event/290/logo-2186957957.png
LOCATION:ECMWF
URL:https://events.ecmwf.int/event/290/
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