BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//CERN//INDICO//EN
BEGIN:VEVENT
SUMMARY:Training course: Predictability and ensemble forecast systems
DTSTART:20241104T084500Z
DTEND:20241108T130000Z
DTSTAMP:20260714T124700Z
UID:indico-event-405@events.ecmwf.int
CONTACT:training@ecmwf.int
DESCRIPTION:This five-day course will consider the challenge of making pre
 dictions from days to seasons ahead. The predictability of the atmosphere
  in the medium and extended range will be considered\, including different
  aspects of the Earth system which give rise to predictability on longer t
 ime scales. Elements of a probabilistic forecast system as well as its cal
 ibration and verification will be presented.The course is a combination of
  lectures\, hands-on practicals and group discussion sessions and will inc
 lude some elements of pre-course study. Please consult last year's timetab
 le on the left-hand side menu to get an idea of possible modules and timin
 gs. The final timetable will be shared in due time.Please note that this c
 ourse does not cover methodologies for downscaling/post-processing\, proba
 bilistic products or discuss decadal prediction.Main topics:Theoretical id
 eas - chaos\, predictability limitsEnsemble methods - taking account of un
 certainty in initial conditions and in the modelPredictability in the exte
 nded range - ocean\, sea-ice\, stratosphere\, landProbabilistic forecast i
 nitialisation\, modelling\, evaluation and verificationECMWF medium-range\
 , monthly and seasonal systemsRequirementsParticipants should have a good 
 meteorological and mathematical background\, and are expected to be famili
 ar with the contents of standard meteorological and mathematical textbooks
 .Introductory material not covered by the course can be found in our lectu
 re note series.Some practical experience in numerical weather prediction i
 s an advantage.All lectures will be given in English.\n\nhttps://events.ec
 mwf.int/event/405/
LOCATION:ECMWF
URL:https://events.ecmwf.int/event/405/
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR