Workshop on Predictability, dynamics and applications research using the TIGGE and S2S ensembles

Name: Workshop on Predictability, dynamics and applications research using the TIGGE and S2S ensembles
Start: 2019-04-02T09:00:00+01:00
End: 2019-04-05T13:00:00+01:00
Location: ECMWF

Overview
Timetable
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Sessions*

Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction

Working groups

Registration

Predictability and dynamics

Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction

Plenary session

Description of working groups

Database Technical Development

Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction

Application studies

Prediction and verification

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Contributions*

2014 Indo-Pak’s cataclysmic flood: Can potential future plights could be alleviated with currently available forecasting skill ? (in session "Prediction and verification")

A Bayesian framework for postprocessing multi-ensemble weather forecasts (in session "Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction")

A flood alert system for Switzerland based on integrated water vapor fluxes (in session "Application studies")

A verification framework for South American sub-seasonal precipitation predictions (in session "Prediction and verification")

A zonal component of monsoons and the variability in the strength of the Madden-Julian Oscillation events (in session "Prediction and verification")

Achieving seamless verification across sub-seasonal time scales from weather to climate (in session "Prediction and verification")

An Assessment of Predictability and Prediction of NCEP GEFS for Subseasonal Forecast (in session "Database Technical Development")

Assessment of prediction skill for sub-seasonal rainfall variability over Brazil in ensemble-based prediction systems (in session "Prediction and verification")

Benefits of a multimodel approach for forecasting precipitation over New Caledonia (SW Pacific) at S2S timescales (in session "Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction")

Developing capacity of Southeast Asian countries to apply subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasts in impact forecasting tools (in session "Application studies")

Digiscape: A one-platform solution for seasonal climate integration into Agriculture. (in session "Application studies")

Drought Monitoring and Prediction Using Sub-Seasonal Predictions (in session "Application studies")

Ensemble forecasting at ECMWF (in session "Database Technical Development")

Ensemble forecasts for the midlatitudes on sub-seasonal time scales (10-60 days): exploring new products for predicting Atlantic-European weather regimes (in session "Prediction and verification")

Ensemble Prediction and Predictability of Extreme Weather via Circulation Regimes (in session "Prediction and verification")

Ensemble Tropical Cyclone Forecast Performance and Prediction of Ensemble Forecast Error (in session "Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction")

Experimental subseasonal forecasting of atmospheric river variations for western N. America during Winters 2017-2018 and 2018-2019 (in session "Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction")

Extratropical predictability from the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and the MJO in S2S models (in session "Predictability and dynamics")

Flow-dependent predictability of wintertime Euro-Atlantic weather regimes in medium-range forecasts (in session "Predictability and dynamics")

Intra-seasonal and Seasonal Variability of the Northern Hemisphere Extra-tropics (in session "Predictability and dynamics")

Introduction

Isotonic Distributional Regression (IDR): A powerful nonparametric calibration technique (in session "Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction")

MJO Impact on Temperature Extremes over Australia during Austral Spring (in session "Predictability and dynamics")

Multi-model Prediction on Subseasonal Timescales at the US NOAA Climate Prediction Center: Approaches to Calibration and the Identification of Forecasts of Opportunity (in session "Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction")

Poster session

Predicting Sudden Stratospheric Warming 2018 and its Climate Impacts with a Multi-Model Ensemble (in session "Prediction and verification")

Prospects for subseasonal sea ice prediction at both poles (in session "Prediction and verification")

Quantifying and attributing predictable signals on sub-seasonal timescales (in session "Application studies")

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves (in session "Prediction and verification")

Spread of global 2-meter temperature analyses: disentangling forecast systematic errors from mis-estimation of ensemble spread (in session "Prediction and verification")

Stratospheric influences on subseasonal predictability of European energy-industry-relevant parameters (in session "Predictability and dynamics")

Subseasonal Forecast Skill over the Northern Polar Region in Three Operational S2S Systems (in session "Predictability and dynamics")

Subseasonal forecasting for the telecommunication network (in session "Application studies")

Subseasonal Prediction of European Summer Heat Waves in the S2S Hindcast Ensembles (in session "Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction")

The global ICON-EPS: a contribution to TIGGE? (in session "Database Technical Development")

The role of stratosphere-troposphere coupling in sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction using the S2S database (in session "Predictability and dynamics")

The S2S4E project, sub-seasonal to seasonal climate predictions for energy (in session "Application studies")

The S2S Data Base in IRI Data Library: Maprooms and online analysis tools (in session "Database Technical Development")

The technical development of the TIGGE and S2S databases (in session "Database Technical Development")

TIGGE and S2S status and developments at CMA (in session "Database Technical Development")

Transmuting S2S forecasts into applications (in session "Application studies")

Uncertainties in Extended-Range Precipitation Forecasts: Model Biases or Predictability Limits (in session "Prediction and verification")

Understanding predictability of the MJO in S2S enesemble (in session "Predictability and dynamics")

Use of S2S forecasts for humanitarian decision making in Kenya (in session "Prediction and Verification Multi-model approaches to prediction")

Use of TIGGE/Global Ensembles in Tropical Cyclone Research and Operational Forecasts (in session "Prediction and verification")

Using the S2S Database to Evaluate the Performance of the Navy Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC) Ensemble (in session "Database Technical Development")

Include materials from selected contributions

Events scheduled on*

02/04/2019

03/04/2019

04/04/2019

05/04/2019

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Poster presentation schedule

TIGGE-S2S-WS_Posters.pdf