Name: Virtual training course: Predictability and ensemble forecast systems
Start: 2020-03-23T09:00:00+00:00
End: 2020-03-27T17:00:00+00:00
Location: ECMWF

Virtual training course: Predictability and ensemble forecast systems

from Monday, 23 March 2020 (09:00) to Friday, 27 March 2020 (17:00)

Monday, 23 March 2020
09:15 Introduction - Andy Brown (ECMWF) Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)
Introduction
- Andy Brown (ECMWF)
- Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)
09:15 - 10:15
10:15 Break
Break
10:15 - 10:30
10:30 Introduction to probabilistic seamless forecasting - Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
Introduction to probabilistic seamless forecasting
- Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
10:30 - 11:30
11:30 Comfort break
Comfort break
11:30 - 11:35
11:35 Chaos and predictability limits - Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)
Chaos and predictability limits
- Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)
11:35 - 12:35
13:15 Lunch break
Lunch break
13:15 - 14:00
14:00 Weather regimes - Franco Molteni (ECMWF)
Weather regimes
- Franco Molteni (ECMWF)
14:00 - 15:00
15:00 Break
Break
15:00 - 15:15
15:15 Diagnostics - Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)
Diagnostics
- Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)
15:15 - 16:15
Tuesday, 24 March 2020
09:15 Coupled stratosphere-troposphere variability - Andrew Charlton-Perez (University of Reading)
Coupled stratosphere-troposphere variability
- Andrew Charlton-Perez (University of Reading)
09:15 - 10:15
10:15 Break
Break
10:15 - 10:30
10:30 Coupled land-atmosphere variability - Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
Coupled land-atmosphere variability
- Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
10:30 - 11:30
11:30 Comfort break
Comfort break
11:30 - 11:35
11:35 Coupled sea ice-atmosphere variability - Steffen Tietsche (ECMWF)
Coupled sea ice-atmosphere variability
- Steffen Tietsche (ECMWF)
11:35 - 12:35
12:35 Lunch break
Lunch break
12:35 - 13:30
13:30 Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - Chris Roberts (ECMWF)
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability
- Chris Roberts (ECMWF)
13:30 - 14:30
Wednesday, 25 March 2020
09:15 Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - MJO - Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - MJO
- Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)
09:15 - 10:15
10:15 Break
Break
10:15 - 10:30
10:30 Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - ENSO - Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - ENSO
- Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
10:30 - 11:30
11:30 Comfort break
Comfort break
11:30 - 11:35
11:35 Overview of forecast systems in extended and long range - Tim Stockdale (ECMWF) Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)
Overview of forecast systems in extended and long range
- Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
- Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)
11:35 - 12:35
12:35 Lunch break
Lunch break
12:35 - 13:30
13:30 Ensemble verification (1) - Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
Ensemble verification (1)
- Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
13:30 - 14:30
Thursday, 26 March 2020
09:15 Ensemble verification (2) - Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
Ensemble verification (2)
- Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)
09:15 - 10:15
10:15 Coffee break
Coffee break
10:15 - 10:30
10:30 Intial condition uncertainty - Simon Lang (ECMWF)
Intial condition uncertainty
- Simon Lang (ECMWF)
10:30 - 11:30
11:30 Comfort break
Comfort break
11:30 - 11:35
11:35 Model uncertainty - Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF)
Model uncertainty
- Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF)
11:35 - 12:35
12:35 Lunch break
Lunch break
12:35 - 13:30
13:30 Initialization techniques in coupled forecasting - Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
Initialization techniques in coupled forecasting
- Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)
13:30 - 14:30
Friday, 27 March 2020
09:15 Diagnostics (2) - Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)
Diagnostics (2)
- Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)
09:15 - 10:15
10:15 Coffee break
Coffee break
10:15 - 10:30
10:30 Post-processing of EPSs reforecasts - reliability diagrams - Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
Post-processing of EPSs reforecasts - reliability diagrams
- Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
10:30 - 11:30
11:30 Comfort break
Comfort break
11:30 - 11:35
11:35 Assessing the skill of long range forecast & the predictability paradox - Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)
Assessing the skill of long range forecast & the predictability paradox
- Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)
11:35 - 12:35
12:35 Lunch Break
Lunch Break
12:35 - 13:30

13:30 Question and Answer Session
Question and Answer Session
13:30 - 14:30