Training course: Predictability and ensemble forecast systems

Monday, 21 March
08:30 → 08:45
Online course opens

Virtual

 		15m
08:45 → 09:45
Introduction
Speakers: Andy Brown (ECMWF), Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
09:45 → 10:05
Coffee break

Virtual

 		20m
10:05 → 11:05
Introduction to probabilistic seamless forecasting
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
11:05 → 12:20
Lunch break

Virtual

 		1h 15m
12:20 → 13:20
Chaos and predictability limits
Speaker: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
13:20 → 13:30
Comfort break

Virtual

 		10m
13:30 → 14:30
Weather regimes
Speaker: Linus Magnusson (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
14:30 → 14:50
Comfort break

Virtual

 		20m
14:50 → 15:50
Introduction to practial sessions - Making sure your computer works!
Speaker: Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)
Gather

Gather

 		1h
Tuesday, 22 March
08:30 → 08:45
Online course opens

Virtual

 		15m
08:45 → 09:45
Coupled sea ice-atmosphere variability
Speaker: Steffen Tietsche (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
09:45 → 10:05
Coffee break

Virtual

 		20m
10:05 → 11:05
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability
Speaker: Chris Roberts (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
11:05 → 12:20
Lunch break

Virtual

 		1h 15m
12:20 → 13:20
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - MJO
Speaker: Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
13:20 → 13:30
Comfort break

Virtual

 		10m
13:30 → 14:30
Coupled land-atmosphere variability
Speaker: Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
14:30 → 14:50
Comfort break

Virtual

 		20m
14:50 → 15:50
Overview of forecast systems in extended and long range
Speakers: Frederic Vitart (ECMWF), Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
Wednesday, 23 March
09:50 → 10:05
Online course opens

Virtual

 		15m
10:05 → 11:05
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - ENSO
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
11:05 → 12:20
Lunch break

Virtual

 		1h 15m
12:20 → 13:20
Intial condition uncertainty
Speaker: Simon Lang (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
13:20 → 13:30
Comfort break

Virtual

 		10m
13:30 → 14:30
Ensemble verification (1)
Speaker: Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
14:30 → 14:50
Comfort break

Virtual

 		20m
14:50 → 15:50
Diagnostics (1)
Speaker: Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
Thursday, 24 March
08:30 → 08:45
Online course opens

Virtual

 		15m
08:45 → 09:45
Ensemble verification (2)
Speaker: Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
09:45 → 10:05
Coffee break

Virtual

 		20m
10:05 → 11:05
Model uncertainty
Speaker: Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
11:05 → 12:20
Lunch break

Virtual

 		1h 15m
12:20 → 13:20
Initialization techniques in coupled forecasting
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
13:20 → 13:30
Comfort break

Virtual

 		10m
13:30 → 14:30
Practical session using SciLab (TBC)
Speakers: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF), Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF), Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF), Zied Ben Bouallegue (ECMWF)
Gather

Gather

 		1h
14:30 → 14:50
Comfort break

Virtual

 		20m
14:50 → 15:50
Practical session continued
Speakers: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF), Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF), Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF), Zied Ben Bouallegue (ECMWF)
Gather

Gather

 		1h
Friday, 25 March
08:30 → 08:45
Online course opens

Virtual

 		15m
08:45 → 09:45
Diagnostics (2)
Speaker: Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
09:45 → 10:05
Coffee break

Virtual

 		20m
10:05 → 11:05
Assessing the skill of long range forecast & the predictability paradox
Speaker: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
11:05 → 12:20
Lunch Break

Virtual

 		1h 15m
12:20 → 13:20
Post-processing of EPSs reforecasts - reliability diagrams
Speaker: Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
13:20 → 13:30
Comfort break

Virtual

 		10m
13:30 → 14:30
Question and Answer Session
 1h

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