Training course: Predictability and ensemble forecast systems

Monday, 21 March
8:30 AM → 8:45 AM
Online course opens

Virtual

 		15m
8:45 AM → 9:45 AM
Introduction
Speakers: Andy Brown (ECMWF), Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
9:45 AM → 10:05 AM
Coffee break

Virtual

 		20m
10:05 AM → 11:05 AM
Introduction to probabilistic seamless forecasting
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
11:05 AM → 12:20 PM
Lunch break

Virtual

 		1h 15m
12:20 PM → 1:20 PM
Chaos and predictability limits
Speaker: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
1:20 PM → 1:30 PM
Comfort break

Virtual

 		10m
1:30 PM → 2:30 PM
Weather regimes
Speaker: Linus Magnusson (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
2:30 PM → 2:50 PM
Comfort break

Virtual

 		20m
2:50 PM → 3:50 PM
Introduction to practial sessions - Making sure your computer works!
Speaker: Sarah Keeley (ECMWF)
Gather

Gather

 		1h
Tuesday, 22 March
8:30 AM → 8:45 AM
Online course opens

Virtual

 		15m
8:45 AM → 9:45 AM
Coupled sea ice-atmosphere variability
Speaker: Steffen Tietsche (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
9:45 AM → 10:05 AM
Coffee break

Virtual

 		20m
10:05 AM → 11:05 AM
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability
Speaker: Chris Roberts (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
11:05 AM → 12:20 PM
Lunch break

Virtual

 		1h 15m
12:20 PM → 1:20 PM
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - MJO
Speaker: Frederic Vitart (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
1:20 PM → 1:30 PM
Comfort break

Virtual

 		10m
1:30 PM → 2:30 PM
Coupled land-atmosphere variability
Speaker: Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
2:30 PM → 2:50 PM
Comfort break

Virtual

 		20m
2:50 PM → 3:50 PM
Overview of forecast systems in extended and long range
Speakers: Frederic Vitart (ECMWF), Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
Wednesday, 23 March
9:50 AM → 10:05 AM
Online course opens

Virtual

 		15m
10:05 AM → 11:05 AM
Coupled ocean-atmosphere variability - ENSO
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
11:05 AM → 12:20 PM
Lunch break

Virtual

 		1h 15m
12:20 PM → 1:20 PM
Intial condition uncertainty
Speaker: Simon Lang (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
1:20 PM → 1:30 PM
Comfort break

Virtual

 		10m
1:30 PM → 2:30 PM
Ensemble verification (1)
Speaker: Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
2:30 PM → 2:50 PM
Comfort break

Virtual

 		20m
2:50 PM → 3:50 PM
Diagnostics (1)
Speaker: Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
Thursday, 24 March
8:30 AM → 8:45 AM
Online course opens

Virtual

 		15m
8:45 AM → 9:45 AM
Ensemble verification (2)
Speaker: Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
9:45 AM → 10:05 AM
Coffee break

Virtual

 		20m
10:05 AM → 11:05 AM
Model uncertainty
Speaker: Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
11:05 AM → 12:20 PM
Lunch break

Virtual

 		1h 15m
12:20 PM → 1:20 PM
Initialization techniques in coupled forecasting
Speaker: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
1:20 PM → 1:30 PM
Comfort break

Virtual

 		10m
1:30 PM → 2:30 PM
Practical session using SciLab (TBC)
Speakers: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF), Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF), Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF), Zied Ben Bouallegue (ECMWF)
Gather

Gather

 		1h
2:30 PM → 2:50 PM
Comfort break

Virtual

 		20m
2:50 PM → 3:50 PM
Practical session continued
Speakers: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF), Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF), Sarah-Jane Lock (ECMWF), Zied Ben Bouallegue (ECMWF)
Gather

Gather

 		1h
Friday, 25 March
8:30 AM → 8:45 AM
Online course opens

Virtual

 		15m
8:45 AM → 9:45 AM
Diagnostics (2)
Speaker: Mark Rodwell (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
9:45 AM → 10:05 AM
Coffee break

Virtual

 		20m
10:05 AM → 11:05 AM
Assessing the skill of long range forecast & the predictability paradox
Speaker: Antje Weisheimer (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
11:05 AM → 12:20 PM
Lunch Break

Virtual

 		1h 15m
12:20 PM → 1:20 PM
Post-processing of EPSs reforecasts - reliability diagrams
Speaker: Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)

Virtual

 		1h
1:20 PM → 1:30 PM
Comfort break

Virtual

 		10m
1:30 PM → 2:30 PM
Question and Answer Session
 1h

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