Using ECMWF's Forecasts (UEF2019)
Strength of ensembles in application forecasting: from hourly through to sub-seasonal forecasts
Speaker
Isla Finney
(Lake Street Consulting Ltd)
Description
Ensembles can provide additional information on a variety of time frames when forecasting for applications. Hourly ECMWF ensemble data became available in October 2018: we take a look at how its affected short-term wind power generation forecasting. Seasonal forecasts for Europe seem often increase in skill between a lead time of front month and month ahead: at what lead time does that skill first appear, and how reliable is it for gas demand forecasting?
Primary author
Isla Finney
(Lake Street Consulting Ltd)