Using ECMWF's Forecasts (UEF2019)
Session
Weather Impact is specialised in translating meteorological and climate data into user-friendly services. In several countries in Africa and Asia we have developed agricultural applications that use the ensemble forecasts of ECMWF as one of the inputs. One of our main challenges is to translate ensemble forecast data to actable information. Services include:
• Weather forecasts and extreme...
Since crop diseases and pests are highly dependent on weather conditions, various decision support systems are proposed to take into account these meteorological conditions in the modeling of epidemic dynamics and assist farmers in their decision-making. Nevertheless, the atmospheric flow is a chaotic phenomenon and weather forecasts remain uncertain. In recent years, several weather...
Marine forecasts are essential to operational planning, with decisions able to be guided by a host of different weather products spanning a period of days, weeks and even months ahead. The correct selection and subsequent application of these different types of weather products has the potential to save many thousands of dollars per day in operational downtime, however this is only possible...
"The Strength of Ensembles Lies not in Probability Forecasting"
Leonard A Smith, CATS at the London School of Economics @lynyrdsmyth
How can one best use an ensemble forecast system in making decisions in the real world that are influenced by the future weather? Several actual applications will be considered, and some real-time forecasting will be required (interactively) form the audience. It...