Using ECMWF's Forecasts (UEF2022)

Session

Conveners

Severe Weather Forecasting

  • Jörn Hoffmann (ECMWF)

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  1. 2. Forecasting Large Hail using Logistic Models and the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
    Francesco Battaglioli (European Severe Storms Laboratory)
    10/06/2022, 09:30
    UEF2022
    Oral presentation

    An Additive logistic Regression model for large hail was developed based on convective parameters from ERA5 reanalysis, severe weather reports from the European Severe Weather Database (ESWD), and lightning observations from the Met Office Arrival Time Difference network (ATDnet). This model was shown to accurately reproduce the spatial distribution and the seasonal cycle of observed hail...

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