Workshop on Predictability, dynamics and applications research using the TIGGE and S2S ensembles

As a user of subseasonal weather forecasts we are particularly interested in quantifying and attributing drivers of enhanced sub seasonal predictability. Here we will discuss methods we have developed to address this question including various approaches to quantity both the signal but also systematic model errors in processes such as regime transitions and tropical-extratropical...

Weather and Climate information lies at the heart of managing agriculture. Decisions that need to be made on farm are wide-ranging from hourly spraying conditions to longer term crop choices or stocking management. Beyond the farm gate weather and climate influence shipping strategies and supply chains, insurance premiums and commodity markets. Australia’s CSIRO has invested in a Future...

Floods in the Alpine region can be destructive and lead to large losses. Many rivers and lakes in Switzerland, however, are regulated and flood damage can therefore be mitigated through an optimal management of lake levels and runoff. To support planning and prevention, high-quality forecasts of atmospheric flood precursors extending beyond short-range predictions are expected to be useful....