30 Years of Ensemble Forecasting and Symposium for Prof. Tim Palmer

Monday, 5 December
09:3010:00
Registration

ECMWF

Reading
30m
10:0010:10
Welcome
Speaker: Florence Rabier (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
10m
10:1010:35
Evolution of Ideas Leading to Dynamical Seasonal Prediction
Speaker: Jagadish Shukla (George Mason University)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
10:3511:00
Ensembles and probabilities in the 1980s: Pioneering the use of dynamical ensembles in real-time monthly predictions
Speaker: James Murphy (Met Office)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
11:0011:25
Representing uncertainty in initial conditions: experimentation from lagged average forecasting to singular vectors
Speaker: Franco Molteni (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
11:2512:00
Coffee break

ECMWF

Reading
35m
12:0012:25
Perturbations in the ECMWF operational ensembles
Speaker: Roberto Buizza (Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
12:2512:50
Evaluation of ensemble forecasts
Speaker: David Richardson (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
12:5014:00
Lunch break

ECMWF

Reading
1h 10m
14:0014:25
ECMWF road towards the extended range ensemble forecasting
Speaker: Laura Ferranti (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
14:2514:50
How ensemble forecasts enhance the energy sector
Speaker: Isla Finney (Lake Street Consulting Ltd)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
14:5015:15
Sensitivity to initial conditions and external forcing in climate predictions
Speaker: Susanna Corti (Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate - National Research Council)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
15:1515:45
Coffee break

ECMWF

Reading
30m
15:4516:10
From Hazard Anticipation & Mitigation to Increasing Food Security: Utilizing Ensemble Forecasts in the Developing World
Speaker: Peter Webster (School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Georgia Institute of Technology)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
16:1016:35
Ensemble forecasting for anticipatory humanitarian action
Speaker: Florian Pappenberger (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
16:3517:00
Ensemble forecasts at ECMWF today
Speaker: Peter Dueben (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
17:0018:00
Drinks reception (all participants)
Weather Room

Weather Room

1h
18:0020:30
Symposium dinner (invited guests)
ECMWF Restaurant

ECMWF Restaurant

2h 30m

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