30 Years of Ensemble Forecasting and Symposium for Prof. Tim Palmer

Monday, 5 December
09:30 10:00
Registration

ECMWF

Reading
30m
10:00 10:10
Welcome
Speaker: Florence Rabier (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
10m
10:10 10:35
Evolution of Ideas Leading to Dynamical Seasonal Prediction
Speaker: Jagadish Shukla (George Mason University)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
10:35 11:00
Ensembles and probabilities in the 1980s: Pioneering the use of dynamical ensembles in real-time monthly predictions
Speaker: James Murphy (Met Office)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
11:00 11:25
Representing uncertainty in initial conditions: experimentation from lagged average forecasting to singular vectors
Speaker: Franco Molteni (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
11:25 12:00
Coffee break

ECMWF

Reading
35m
12:00 12:25
Perturbations in the ECMWF operational ensembles
Speaker: Roberto Buizza (Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
12:25 12:50
Evaluation of ensemble forecasts
Speaker: David Richardson (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
12:50 14:00
Lunch break

ECMWF

Reading
1h 10m
14:00 14:25
ECMWF road towards the extended range ensemble forecasting
Speaker: Laura Ferranti (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
14:25 14:50
How ensemble forecasts enhance the energy sector
Speaker: Isla Finney (Lake Street Consulting Ltd)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
14:50 15:15
Sensitivity to initial conditions and external forcing in climate predictions
Speaker: Susanna Corti (Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate - National Research Council)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
15:15 15:45
Coffee break

ECMWF

Reading
30m
15:45 16:10
From Hazard Anticipation & Mitigation to Increasing Food Security: Utilizing Ensemble Forecasts in the Developing World
Speaker: Peter Webster (School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Georgia Institute of Technology)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
16:10 16:35
Ensemble forecasting for anticipatory humanitarian action
Speaker: Florian Pappenberger (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
16:35 17:00
Ensemble forecasts at ECMWF today
Speaker: Peter Dueben (ECMWF)

ECMWF

Reading
25m
17:00 18:00
Drinks reception (all participants)
Weather Room

Weather Room

1h
18:00 20:30
Symposium dinner (invited guests)
ECMWF Restaurant

ECMWF Restaurant

2h 30m

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