Name: Annual Seminar 2019
Start: 2019-09-02T09:00:00+01:00
End: 2019-09-05T17:00:00+01:00
Location: ECMWF

A personal perspective on predictability on sub-seasonal to seasonal time-scales (in session "Session 1: Basis for predictability at the extended and seasonal range")

Analyzing causal pathways of the stratospheric polar vortex using machine learning tools (in session "Session 5: Multi-model databases for advancing science and applications")

Atmospheric teleconnections, the North Atlantic Oscillation and long range forecasts of European winters (in session "Session 3: System design")

Bridging the Gap between Weather and Climate Prediction using Multi-model Ensembles (in session "Session 5: Multi-model databases for advancing science and applications")

Close of seminar (in session "Session 5: Multi-model databases for advancing science and applications")

Comparing the Predictability and Skill of Subseasonal Forecasts (in session "Session 4: Detecting and exploiting skill")

High-latitude processes in sub-seasonal to seasonal predictions (in session "Session 2: Physical processes, modelling and initialization requirements")

How Using NASA’s Observations Affects the Balance Among Spatial Resolution, Ensemble Size, and Physical Complexity in the GEOS-S2S System (in session "Session 4: Detecting and exploiting skill")

Introduction and arrangements (in session "Session 1: Basis for predictability at the extended and seasonal range")

Land surface as a predictability driver in Subseasonal and seasonal Forecasts (in session "Session 2: Physical processes, modelling and initialization requirements")

Multi-Scale Impacts of Extratropical Ocean on the Atmosphere (in session "Session 2: Physical processes, modelling and initialization requirements")

Multi-week/seasonal prediction for agricultural applications in Australia (in session "Session 3: System design")

Predictability associated with teleconnections from tropical phenomena (in session "Session 1: Basis for predictability at the extended and seasonal range")

Predicting high impact weather events beyond the medium range (in session "Session 4: Detecting and exploiting skill")

Seasonal forecast data and information: the providers' perspective from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (in session "Session 5: Multi-model databases for advancing science and applications")

Seasonal forecasting systems: present and future (in session "Session 3: System design")

Statistical methods for verification of probabilistic forecasts at the extended and seasonal range (in session "Session 2: Physical processes, modelling and initialization requirements")

Subseasonal and seasonal climate forecast applications (in session "Session 5: Multi-model databases for advancing science and applications")

Taming the butterfly effect to reach subseasonal and seasonal predictability (in session "Session 1: Basis for predictability at the extended and seasonal range")

The complexity of ENSO and its impacts: lessons learnt from initialized predictions (in session "Session 2: Physical processes, modelling and initialization requirements")

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (in session "Session 2: Physical processes, modelling and initialization requirements")

The role of atmospheric composition in the predictability at the S2S scale (in session "Session 2: Physical processes, modelling and initialization requirements")

The role of the stratosphere for sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasting (in session "Session 2: Physical processes, modelling and initialization requirements")

The US Navy’s Extended-range Prediction System with High-resolution Ocean and Ice models (in session "Session 3: System design")

Towards process-based narratives for seasonal climate predictions (in session "Session 4: Detecting and exploiting skill")

Welcome and opening

What did we learn from the S2S database? (in session "Session 5: Multi-model databases for advancing science and applications")

Where our science ambitions meet computing and data handling limitations (in session "Session 5: Multi-model databases for advancing science and applications")

Annual Seminar 2019

Material Package