Joint Virtual Workshop on “Connecting global to local hydrological modelling and forecasting: scientific advances and challenges”

Tuesday, 29 June
Session 1: Challenges and advances in modelling hydrologic variables at large scales
Chair: Christel Prudhomme (ECMWF)
08:30 09:00
Virtual arrival - Session 1

Virtual

30m
09:00 09:10
Welcome
Speakers: Christel Prudhomme (ECMWF), & co-organisers

Virtual

10m
09:10 09:30
The European Commission Destination Earth Programme
Speaker: Irina Sandu (ECMWF)

Virtual

20m
09:30 09:40
Q&A (All participants)

Virtual

10m
Pitch talks for poster session 1
Chair: Peter Salamon (EC)
09:40 10:00
Introduction to poster session 1
Speaker: Peter Salamon (EC)

Virtual

20m
10:01 10:03
A regional coupled approach to water cycle prediction during winter 2013/14 in the United Kingdom
Speaker: Huw Lewis (Met Office)

Virtual

2m
10:04 10:06
Predicting the complete coupled terrestrial water and energy cycles
Speaker: Harrie-Jan Hendricks-Franssen (Forschungszentrum Julich GmbH)

Virtual

2m
10:07 10:09
A sensitivity analysis of hydrological states and fluxes to groundwater representation in pan-European multimodel simulations
Speaker: Bibi Naz (Institute of Bio- and Geosciences Agrosphere (IBG-3), Jülich Research Center)

Virtual

2m
10:09 10:11
Development of a global high resolution river routing model accounting for lake mass balance
Speaker: Simon Munier (Météo-France)

Virtual

2m
10:15 10:17
Challenges of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) hydrological calibration
Speaker: Cinzia Mazzetti (ECMWF)

Virtual

2m
10:18 10:20
A few hundred catchments later – lessons from modelling large samples of catchments around the globe
Speaker: Jan Seibert (University of Zurich)

Virtual

2m
10:21 10:23
Global high-resolution regionalized parameter maps for LISFLOOD based on observed streamflow from over 4000 headwater catchments
Speaker: Stefania Grimaldi (EC)

Virtual

2m
10:24 10:26
Advances and challenges in the past decade: from univariate to multivariate bias adjustment of climate models for impact studies
Speaker: Faranak Tootoonchi (Uppsala University)

Virtual

2m
10:30 10:32
Delivering Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS) data operationally to the hydrological community
Speaker: Shaun Harrigan (ECMWF)

Virtual

2m
10:34 10:36
ULYSSES: a global multi-model hydrological prediction system
Speaker: Luis Samaniego (Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ)

Virtual

2m
10:37 10:39
Deployment automation of hydrological forecasting systems on a global scale
Speaker: Bart van Osnabrugge (Deltares)

Virtual

2m
10:40 10:42
Using ensemble reforecasts to generate flood thresholds for improved global flood forecasting
Speaker: Ervin Zsoter (ECMWF)

Virtual

2m
10:45 11:30
Activities in Gather.Town

Virtual

45m
10:45 11:30
Poster session 1 in Gather.Town - Visit the posters and chat with the authors

Virtual

45m
Session 2: Catchment-scale hydrometeorological forecasting: from short-range to medium-range
Chair: Ilias Pechlivanidis (SMHI)
13:30 14:00
Virtual arrival - Session 2

Virtual

30m
14:00 14:10
Welcome
Speakers: Ilias Pechlivanidis (SMHI), & co-organisers

Virtual

10m
14:10 14:30
From ensembles to uncertainty in hydrological prediction
Speaker: Wendy Parker

Virtual

20m
14:30 14:40
Q & A (All participants)

Virtual

10m
Pitch talks for poster session 2
Chair: Christel Prudhomme (ECMWF)
14:40 14:50
Introduction to poster session 2
Speaker: Christel Prudhomme (ECMWF)

Virtual

10m
14:52 14:54
Short-Range Streamflow Forecasting Using Multi-Models Over Snow Dominated Basin In Turkey
Speaker: Gokcen Uysal (Eskisehir Technical University)

Virtual

2m
14:56 14:58
Real time flood forecasting in the Chenab basin in Pakistan
Speaker: Mandira Singh Shrestha (ICIMOD)

Virtual

2m
15:00 15:02
Flood risk assessment on small catchment with ECMWF ensemble forecasts in operational conditions
Speaker: Anne Belleudy (MTE/ SCHAPI)

Virtual

2m
15:04 15:06
Towards a seamless combination of short-term deterministic with mid-term probabilistic hydrological forecasts
Speaker: Laurie Caillouet (CNR)

Virtual

2m
15:08 15:10
Verifying precipitation from the Global Ensemble Forecast System in Maule, Chile
Speaker: Francisco Jara (University of Chile)

Virtual

2m
15:12 15:14
Evaluating the post-processing of the European Flood Awareness System’s continental scale streamflow forecasts
Speaker: Gwyneth Matthews (University of Reading)

Virtual

2m
15:16 15:18
Predicting river flow level categories using SMOS soil moisture within a machine learning approach
Speaker: Calum Baugh (ECMWF)

Virtual

2m
15:20 15:22
An ensemble-based method for investigating the predictability of fluvial flooding from tropical cyclones
Speaker: Helen Titley (Met Office and University of Reading)

Virtual

2m
15:24 15:26
Integrating hydrological ensemble forecasts into decision support tools for operation of the electric system in Uruguay
Speaker: Alejandra De Vera (Instituto de Mecánica de los Fluidos e Ingeniería Ambiental (IMFIA))

Virtual

2m
15:28 15:30
Which precipitation forecasts to use? Deterministic versus coarser-resolution ensemble NWP models
Speaker: Pengcheng Zhao (University of Melbourne)

Virtual

2m
15:32 15:34
Enabling hydrological (ensemble) verification as part of standard operational practice at operational centers around the world
Speaker: Bart van Osnabrugge (Deltares)

Virtual

2m
15:36 15:38
Development of a medium-range ensemble streamflow forecasting system in a suite of Andean catchments
Speaker: Diego Hernandez (University of Chile)

Virtual

2m
15:40 15:42
GloFAS as fundamental tool in the Madeira River Crisis Room
Speaker: Marcio Augusto Ernesto de Moraes (National Early Warning and Monitoring Centre of Natural Disaster)

Virtual

2m
15:43 15:45
Benchmarking hydrological model performance of GloFAS v3 against GloFAS v2
Speaker: Shaun Harrigan (ECMWF)

Virtual

2m
15:45 16:30
Activities in Gather.Town

Virtual

45m
15:45 16:30
Poster session 2 in Gather.Town - Visit the posters and chat with the authors

Virtual

45m
Wednesday, 30 June
Session 3: Monitoring, modelling and forecasting for flood risk, flash floods, inundation and impact assessments
Chair: Peter Salamon (EC)
08:30 09:00
Virtual arrival - Session 3

Virtual

30m
09:00 09:10
Welcome
Speakers: Peter Salamon, & co-organisers

Virtual

10m
09:10 09:30
Global flood forecasting for anticipatory humanitarian action
Speaker: Liz Stephens (University of Reading)

Virtual

20m
09:30 09:40
Q & A (All participants)

Virtual

10m
Pitch talks for poster session 3
Chair: Maria-Helena Ramos (INRAE)
09:40 09:50
Introduction to poster session 3
Speaker: Maria-Helena Ramos (INRAE)

Virtual

10m
09:51 09:53
A first evaluation of the future CEMS systematic global flood monitoring product.
Speaker: Renaud Hostache (LIST-Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology)

Virtual

2m
09:54 09:56
An evaluation of ensemble flood inundation mapping spatial skill
Speaker: Helen Hooker (University of Reading)

Virtual

2m
09:57 09:59
Floodwater detection in urban areas using Sentinel-1 and WorldDEM data
Speaker: David Mason (University of Reading)

Virtual

2m
10:00 10:02
Development of nationwide 150m high-resolution Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation model for flood forecasting: Integration of 26,000 cross-section data to improve flood predictions
Speaker: Masafumi Yamada (Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University)

Virtual

2m
10:03 10:05
Google’s Flood Forecasting Initiative: Globally-Scalable Models for Hyper-Local Information
Speaker: Guy Shalev (Google)

Virtual

2m
10:15 10:17
Rainfall nowcasting using commercial microwave links from cellular communication networks
Speaker: Ruben Imhoff (Deltares)

Virtual

2m
10:18 10:20
Using the GEOGloWS ECMWF Streamflow Services for forecasting inundations and urban flooding in Israel
Speaker: Amir Givati (Israeli Fire and Rescue Authority)

Virtual

2m
10:21 10:23
Ensemble Flash Flood Predictions Using a High-Resolution Nationwide Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Model: Case Study of the Heavy Rain Event of July 2018 and Typhoon Hagibis in 2019
Speaker: Takahiro Sayama (Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University)

Virtual

2m
10:24 10:26
The challenges of making seamless pan-European flash flood impact forecasts useful for local decision making
Speaker: Calum Baugh (ECMWF)

Virtual

2m
10:27 10:29
Challenges of event-based evaluation of flash floods: example of the October 2018 flood event in the Aude catchment in France
Speaker: Daniela Peredo (Université Paris-Saclay, INRAE, UR HYCAR)

Virtual

2m
10:30 10:32
Unravelling the interplay between flood model selection, simulations outcomes, and resulting flood risk – a case study in the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta
Speaker: Jannis Hoch (Utrecht University)

Virtual

2m
10:33 10:35
Combining pan-European flood hazard forecasts with exposure information to enhance local decision making
Speaker: Eleanor Hansford (ECMWF)

Virtual

2m
10:36 10:38
Emulation of 2D hydrodynamic flood inundation model using deep learning with spatial reduction and reconstruction
Speaker: Yuerong Zhou (The University of Melbourne)

Virtual

2m
10:39 10:41
Blue-green roofs with forecast-based operation to reduce the impact of climate extremes in cities
Speaker: Tim Busker (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

Virtual

2m
10:45 11:30
Poster session 3 in Gather.Town - Visit the posters and chat with the authors

Virtual

45m
10:45 11:30
Activities in Gather.Town

Virtual

45m
Session 4: Connecting large scale water-cycle information to local needs, knowledge and decision making
Chair: Maria-Helena Ramos (INRAE)
13:30 14:00
Virtual arrival - Session 4

Virtual

30m
14:00 14:10
Welcome
Speakers: Maria-Helena Ramos (INRAE), & co-organisers

Virtual

10m
14:10 14:30
Connecting large scale climate services to the local context? Look out of the window
Speaker: Micha Werner (IHE Delft Institute for Water Education)

Virtual

20m
14:30 14:40
Q & A (All participants)

Virtual

10m
Pitch talks for poster session 4
Chair: Gianpaolo Balsamo (ECMWF)
14:40 14:45
Introduction to poster session 4
Speaker: Gianpaolo Balsamo (ECMWF)

Virtual

5m
14:46 14:48
Assessing the role of global datasets for flood risk management at national and catchment scales
Speaker: Mark Bernhofen (University of Leeds)

Virtual

2m
14:49 14:51
Assessment of Global Reanalysis Datasets for Catchment modelling Across Kenya
Speaker: Maureen Wanzala (University of Reading)

Virtual

2m
14:52 14:54
Evaluating the forecast skill of GloFAS ensemble river discharge hindcasts for different lead times using impact data; a case study for Ethiopia
Speaker: Aklilu Teklesadik (510 an initiative of the Netherlands Red Cross)

Virtual

2m
14:55 14:57
Comparative Suitability of the Global Flood Awareness System and a Catchment-based Model to Simulate and Predict Floods in Uganda
Speaker: Douglas Mulangwa (Ministry of Water and Environment, Uganda)

Virtual

2m
14:58 15:00
Understanding the current gaps between global and catchment scale seasonal and short-term streamflow forecasts
Speaker: David Robertson (CSIRO)

Virtual

2m
15:01 15:03
Bayesian merging of large scale and local hydrological forecasts
Speaker: Marie-Amélie Boucher (Université de Sherbrooke)

Virtual

2m
15:04 15:06
Challenges in setting up a multi-model hydrometeorological forecasting system
Speaker: Fredrik Wetterhall (ECMWF)

Virtual

2m
15:07 15:09
Exploiting SEAS5 (re-)forecasts to support risk-based decision making (UNSEEN)
Speaker: Timo Kelder (Loughborough University)

Virtual

2m
15:10 15:12
Seasonal hydrological forecasting across scales: similarity patterns and attribution of forecast quality
Speaker: Ilias Pechlivanidis (SMHI)

Virtual

2m
15:13 15:15
Towards globally applicable and locally relevant compound flood simulations
Speaker: Dirk Eilander (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

Virtual

2m
15:16 15:18
Continental versus regional scale flood inundation modelling estimates for southern South America
Speaker: Fernando Fan (IPH - UFRGS (Brazil))

Virtual

2m
15:19 15:21
Application of HYPE Model in Simulating Streamflow and Suspended Sediment Concentration at Upper Srepok River Basin in Vietnam
Speaker: Thao Bui Thi Phuong (Tokyo Metropolitan University)

Virtual

2m
15:22 15:24
Development of a web-based decision support system (DSS) for water resources management in Vietnam and Mekong region
Speaker: Du Duong Bui (National Center for Water Resources Planning and Investigation (NAWAPI))

Virtual

2m
15:25 15:27
Estimating the benefits brought by seasonal forecasts on the management of the Water-Energy-Food nexus in the Jucar river system
Speaker: Hector Macian-Sorribes (Universitat Politècnica de València, Research Institute of Water and Environmental Engineering (IIAMA))

Virtual

2m
15:28 15:30
Improving irrigation water availability forecasting: A case study involving Australia’s largest rural water corporation
Speaker: Kirsti Hakala (University of Melbourne)

Virtual

2m
15:31 15:33
Forecasting seasonal water demand across Australia’s southern Murray Darling Basin
Speaker: Kirsti Hakala (University of Melbourne)

Virtual

2m
15:34 15:36
From Global to Local: Development of a Bias correction method for the GEOGloWS ECMWF Streamflow Services global model
Speaker: Jorge Sanchez Lozano (Brigham Young University)

Virtual

2m
15:37 15:39
From Global to Local: Validating Forecast High Flow Events from GEOGloWS ECMWF Streamflow Services
Speaker: Jorge Sanchez Lozano (Brigham Young University)

Virtual

2m
15:45 16:30
Activities in Gather.Town

Virtual

45m
15:45 16:30
Poster session 4 in Gather.Town - Visit the posters and chat with the authors

Virtual

45m
Thursday, 1 July
Session 5: Catchment-scale hydrometeorological forecasting: from medium-range to subseasonal-to-seasonal range
Chair: Hannah Cloke (University of Reading)
08:30 09:00
Virtual arrival - Session 5

Virtual

30m
09:00 09:10
Welcome
Speakers: Hannah Cloke (University of Reading), & co-organisers

Virtual

10m
09:10 09:30
Developments in hybrid hydrological forecasting
Speaker: Louise Slater (University of Oxford)

Virtual

20m
09:30 09:40
Q & A (All participants)

Virtual

10m
Pitch talks for poster session 5
Chair: Ilias Pechlivanidis (SMHI)
09:40 09:45
Introduction to poster session 5
Speaker: Ilias Pechlivanidis (SMHI)

Virtual

5m
09:45 09:47
How can we extend the horizon of skillful hydrological predictions?
Speaker: Konrad Bogner (WSL)

Virtual

2m
09:48 09:50
Ensemble forecasts for soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff across Australia – verification and applications
Speaker: Christopher Pickett-Heaps (Bureau of Meteorology)

Virtual

2m
09:51 09:53
Medium- to seasonal-range streamflow forecasting for the hydropower dams of the Brazilian National Interconnected System
Speaker: Fernando Fan (IPH - UFRGS (Brazil))

Virtual

2m
09:54 09:56
Operational multi-model hydrological seasonal forecasts for Europe: development, skill and challenges
Speaker: Lisanne Nauta (Wageningen University)

Virtual

2m
10:00 10:02
Ensemble Forecasting of Drought over Germany at Sub-seasonal Time Scale
Speaker: Husain Najafi (UFZ)

Virtual

2m
10:03 10:05
Multi‐temporal Hydrological Residual Error Modelling for Seamless Subseasonal Streamflow Forecasting
Speaker: David McInerney (School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering, University of Adelaide)

Virtual

2m
10:06 10:08
Skill of seasonal meteorological forecasts from the Copernicus Climate Change Service to foresee groundwater pumping allocation in an overexploited Mediterranean aquifer
Speaker: Hector Macian-Sorribes (Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV))

Virtual

2m
10:09 10:11
Seasonal forecasts of winter and summer precipitation for the Island of Ireland from dynamical-statistical methods
Speaker: Saeed Golian (Maynooth University)

Virtual

2m
10:12 10:14
An improved trend-aware post-processing method for GCM seasonal precipitation forecasts
Speaker: Yawen Shao (University of Melbourne)

Virtual

2m
10:14 10:16
Post-processing hydro-meteorological tercile forecasts with weather regime data using machine learning
Speaker: Annie Yuan-Yuan Chang (WSL)

Virtual

2m
10:17 10:19
Understanding streamflow predictability on seasonal timescales across North America
Speaker: Louise Arnal (University of Saskatchewan, Centre for Hydrology, Canmore Coldwater Laboratory)

Virtual

2m
10:20 10:22
The effects of post-processing on the performance of reservoir inflow at Itaipu (Brazil / Paraguay)
Speaker: Wouter Greuell (Wageningen University and Research)

Virtual

2m
10:23 10:25
Forecasting soil moisture at 600m resolution over Germany using the hydrologic model ParFlow/CLM with ECMWF atmospheric forcing
Speaker: Alexandre Belleflamme (Institute of Bio- and Geosciences Agrosphere (IBG-3), Jülich Research Center)

Virtual

2m
10:26 10:28
Seasonal Hydrological Forecasts for the Yacyretá Hydropower Facility
Speaker: Ana C. Escalera (IHE-Delft, Department of Water Science and Engineering)

Virtual

2m
10:28 10:30
Error modelling for long-range ensemble forecasts of flow in highly ephemeral rivers
Speaker: James Bennett (CSIRO)

Virtual

2m
10:31 10:33
Integrated chain for the hydrometeorological forecasting of low flows and droughts in France – The CIPRHES project
Speaker: Charles Perrin (Université Paris-Saclay, INRAE, UR HYCAR)

Virtual

2m
10:34 10:36
Effective calibration of precipitation forecasts across Australia using the Seasonally Coherent Calibration (SCC) model
Speaker: Qichun Yang (University of Melbourne)

Virtual

2m
10:37 10:39
Evaluating the performance of a data-driven short-term irrigation demand forecasting model under different levels of data availability
Speaker: Leila Forouhar (University of Melbourne)

Virtual

2m
10:45 11:30
Activities in Gather.Town

Virtual

45m
10:45 11:30
Poster session 5 in Gather.Town - Visit the posters and chat with the authors

Virtual

45m
Session 6: Use of Earth Observations and data assimiliation for hydrological forecasts and past reanalyses
Chair: Gianpaolo Balsamo (ECMWF)
13:30 14:00
Virtual arrival - Session 6

Virtual

30m
14:00 14:10
Welcome
Speakers: Gianpaolo Balsamo (ECMWF), & co-organisers

Virtual

10m
14:10 14:30
Advances in new EO technologies and computer modeling could soon enable better flood forecasting at impact-level scale
Speaker: Guy Schumann (RSS-Hydro Sarl-S)

Virtual

20m
14:30 14:40
Q & A (All participants)

Virtual

10m
Pitch talks for poster session 6
Chair: Hannah Cloke (University of Reading)
14:40 14:50
Introduction to poster session 6
Speaker: Hannah Cloke (University of Reading)

Virtual

10m
14:51 14:53
Impacts of data assimilation on continental seasonal and short-term hydrological forecasts
Speaker: Katayoon Bahramian (Bureau of Meteorology)

Virtual

2m
14:54 14:56
Does the assimilation of earth observations and in-situ data affect the seasonal hydrological forecast quality?
Speaker: Ilias Pechlivanidis (SMHI)

Virtual

2m
14:57 14:59
Leveraging Earth Observation and Data Assimilation to Optimize Flood Inundation Forecasting
Speaker: Antara Dasgupta (IITB-Monash Research Academy; IIT Bombay; Monash University)

Virtual

2m
15:00 15:02
Assimilation of streamflow into a distributed hydrological model using ConvLSTM
Speaker: Robert Keppler (WUR)

Virtual

2m
15:03 15:05
A High-Resolution Land Data Assimilation System Optimized for Drought Monitoring in the Western United States
Speaker: Jessica Erlingis (University of Maryland)

Virtual

2m
15:06 15:08
Applying the hydrological model framework HydPy for data assimilation in order to improve operational medium-range forecasts within the Rhine basin
Speaker: Julian Weier (Federal Institute of Hydrology)

Virtual

2m
15:09 15:11
Assimilation of backscatter radar observations in a hydrological model: a study for two catchments in Belgium
Speaker: Pierre Baguis (Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium)

Virtual

2m
15:12 15:14
Towards an operational forecasting system using altimetry assimilation : two case studies on the Niger and the Congo river basins
Speaker: Vanessa Pedinotti (Magellium)

Virtual

2m
15:15 15:17
Remote Sensing of Global Daily Evapotranspiration based on Surface Energy Balance Method and Reanalysis data
Speaker: Xuelong Chen (Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Virtual

2m
15:18 15:20
Ensemble Snow Data Assimilation Methods for Streamflow Forecasting
Speaker: Dave Casson (University of Saskatchewan, Centre for Hydrology, Canmore Coldwater Laboratory)

Virtual

2m
15:21 15:23
Delineating groundwater occurrence and patterns within the Free State Province, South Africa
Speaker: Adeyemi Olusola (University of the Free State)

Virtual

2m
15:24 15:26
Updating soil moisture and vegetation by assimilating Sentinel-1 backscatter: Impact on streamflow simulations
Speaker: Michel Bechtold (KU Leuven)

Virtual

2m
15:27 15:29
Limits of predictability: a global-scale investigation of distribution and stochastic structure of key hydrological-cycle processes
Speaker: Panayiotis Dimitriadis (National Technical University of Athens)

Virtual

2m
15:30 15:32
Over-the-loop ensemble forecasting for risk-based reservoir operations in the US
Speaker: Andy Wood (National Center for Atmospheric Research)

Virtual

2m
15:33 15:35
Utilizing MODIS imagery and multi-platform microwave brightness temperature to constrain flood frequency
Speaker: Albert Kettner (University of Colorado)

Virtual

2m
15:45 16:30
Activities in Gather.Town

Virtual

45m
15:45 16:30
Poster session 6 in Gather.Town - Visit the posters and chat with the authors

Virtual

45m

Please select a timezone to show adjusted event times accordingly.